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Entertaining Without Endorsing: The Case for the Scientific Investigation of Anomalous Cognition

📄 Original study
Schooler, Jonathan W, Baumgart, Stephen, Franklin, Michael 2018 Current Era overview

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Plain English Summary

How should science handle phenomena that sound impossible but keep showing up in the data? This paper tackles that question head-on. The authors point out that respected scientists hold wildly different gut feelings about anomalous cognition (things like precognition or telepathy) -- from 'billion-to-one against' to outright support from a Nobel laureate. Using Bayes' theorem (a mathematical way of updating beliefs with new evidence), they show these opposing priors lead to genuinely different -- and both reasonable -- readings of the same results. And those results are nothing to sneeze at: multiple meta-analyses across precognition, telepathy, psychokinesis (mind influencing matter), and clairvoyance all show small but statistically significant effects. The clever solution? 'Entertain without endorse' -- take the findings seriously enough to investigate rigorously, but hold off on believing until nine strict benchmarks are met, including pre-registration, adversarial collaboration, and independent replication across multiple labs.

Actual Paper Abstract

Empirical reports in mainstream journals that human cognition extends in ways that challenge the current boundaries of science (anomalous cognition) has been viewed with dismay by many who see it as evidence that science is broken. Here the authors make the case for the value of conducting and publishing well-designed studies investigating anomalous cognition. They distinguish between the criteria that justify entertaining the possibility of anomalous cognition from those required to endorse it as a bona fide phenomenon. In evaluating these 2 distinct thresholds, the authors draw on Bayes's theorem to argue that scientists may reasonably differ in their appraisals of the likelihood that anomalous cognition is possible. Although individual scientists may usefully vary in the criteria that they hold both for entertaining and endorsing anomalous cognition, we provide arguments for why researchers should consider adopting a liberal criterion for entertaining anomalous cognition while maintaining a very strict criterion for the outright endorsement of its existence. Grounded in an understanding of the justifiability of disparate views on the topic, the authors encourage humility on both the part of those who present evidence in support of anomalous cognition and those who dispute the merit of its investigation.

Research Notes

Published in a special issue of Psychology of Consciousness alongside Mossbridge & Radin (2018). The 'entertain without endorse' framework provides the most developed mainstream epistemological case for investigating psi, serving as a key reference point in the ongoing debate. The nine endorsement criteria offer a concrete benchmark for evaluating experimental programs in this library.

Drawing on Bayes's theorem, argues that scientists' vastly different prior probabilities regarding anomalous cognition — from physicist Sean Carroll's 'less than a billion to one against' to Nobel laureate Brian Josephson's endorsement — produce legitimately polarized evidence appraisals. Reviews meta-analyses across precognition (z=6.02; z=6.4 across 90 Bem-paradigm studies), ganzfeld telepathy (z=5.48), psychokinesis (z=15.76), and clairvoyance (z=3.07), noting small but statistically significant effects in most cases. Proposes the 'entertain without endorse' framework with nine strict criteria for endorsing anomalous cognition, including pre-registration, adversarial collaboration, locked protocols, off-site data logging, and independent multi-lab replication.

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📋 Cite this paper
APA
Schooler, Jonathan W, Baumgart, Stephen, Franklin, Michael (2018). Entertaining Without Endorsing: The Case for the Scientific Investigation of Anomalous Cognition. Psychology of Consciousness: Theory, Research, and Practice. https://doi.org/10.1037/cns0000151
BibTeX
@article{schooler_2018_entertaining,
  title = {Entertaining Without Endorsing: The Case for the Scientific Investigation of Anomalous Cognition},
  author = {Schooler, Jonathan W and Baumgart, Stephen and Franklin, Michael},
  year = {2018},
  journal = {Psychology of Consciousness: Theory, Research, and Practice},
  doi = {10.1037/cns0000151},
}